We don't know for sure if God exists, and we don't know for sure if God doesn't exist.
So there is some chance that God indeed exists (there is a non-zero likelihood that God exists).
If God exists, and we believe in God, God will send us to heaven after death, and we stand to receive infinite utility/happiness/gain.
If God exists, but we don't believe in God, God might send us to hell after death, and we stand to receive infinite disutility/unhappiness/loss.
If God doesn't exist, and we believe in God, we stand to lose a finite amount of utility/happiness/gain, because we would have wasted time and energy on religious practices.
If God doesn't exist, and we don't believe in God, we stand to receive some finite amount of utility/happiness/gain, because we would have lived life as we wanted, without wasting time and energy on religious practices.
Therein lies a flaw.
We will only know all of these on hindsight, or probably we'll never know. So, who cares really?
As long as it makes you happy without having the need to impose it on others to rally this support for your happiness.
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